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      "question": "recall_rejection_flavio_bolsonaro_h",
      "max_residual_pp": 7.815970093361102e-14
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    {
      "question": "recall_rejection_lula_h",
      "max_residual_pp": 9.947598300641403e-14
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    {
      "question": "recall_rejection_renan_santos_h",
      "max_residual_pp": 8.526512829121202e-14
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    {
      "question": "recall_rejection_romeu_zema_h",
      "max_residual_pp": 4.263256414560601e-14
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    {
      "question": "recall_rejection_ronaldo_caiado_h",
      "max_residual_pp": 4.263256414560601e-14
    },
    {
      "question": "recall_rejection_augusto_cury_h",
      "max_residual_pp": 7.815970093361102e-14
    },
    {
      "question": "president_approval",
      "max_residual_pp": 7.815970093361102e-14
    },
    {
      "question": "government_evaluation_h",
      "max_residual_pp": 7.105427357601002e-14
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    {
      "question": "main_problem_country",
      "max_residual_pp": 3.907985046680551e-14
    },
    {
      "question": "problema_familia",
      "max_residual_pp": 8.348877145181177e-14
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    {
      "question": "economic_macro_retro",
      "max_residual_pp": 5.684341886080802e-14
    },
    {
      "question": "economic_pocket_retro",
      "max_residual_pp": 4.618527782440651e-14
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    {
      "question": "economic_macro_prosp",
      "max_residual_pp": 4.973799150320701e-14
    },
    {
      "question": "economic_pocket_prosp",
      "max_residual_pp": 6.039613253960852e-14
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    {
      "question": "public_policy_support_anistia_8_janeiro",
      "max_residual_pp": 4.263256414560601e-14
    },
    {
      "question": "public_policy_support_porte_de_armas",
      "max_residual_pp": 8.526512829121202e-14
    },
    {
      "question": "public_policy_support_casamento_homoafetivo",
      "max_residual_pp": 7.105427357601002e-14
    },
    {
      "question": "public_policy_support_proibir_aborto",
      "max_residual_pp": 4.973799150320701e-14
    },
    {
      "question": "public_policy_support_terras_indigenas",
      "max_residual_pp": 7.815970093361102e-14
    },
    {
      "question": "public_policy_support_cotas",
      "max_residual_pp": 2.1316282072803006e-14
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    {
      "question": "public_policy_support_privatizar_correios",
      "max_residual_pp": 4.263256414560601e-14
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    {
      "question": "public_policy_support_desvincular_previdencia",
      "max_residual_pp": 7.815970093361102e-14
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    {
      "question": "public_policy_support_pisos_saude_educacao",
      "max_residual_pp": 5.684341886080802e-14
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    {
      "question": "public_policy_support_alinhar_eua",
      "max_residual_pp": 9.947598300641403e-14
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    {
      "question": "desgaste_master",
      "max_residual_pp": 1.3500311979441904e-13
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    {
      "question": "desgaste_stf",
      "max_residual_pp": 9.237055564881302e-14
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    {
      "question": "vote_stf",
      "max_residual_pp": 1.7763568394002505e-14
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    {
      "question": "ideology",
      "max_residual_pp": 8.526512829121202e-14
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    {
      "question": "identification_h",
      "max_residual_pp": 5.684341886080802e-14
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    {
      "question": "neg_identification_antipetista_h",
      "max_residual_pp": 3.552713678800501e-14
    },
    {
      "question": "neg_identification_antibolsonarista_h",
      "max_residual_pp": 6.394884621840902e-14
    },
    {
      "question": "anti_cruzado",
      "max_residual_pp": 7.815970093361102e-14
    },
    {
      "question": "party_affiliation",
      "max_residual_pp": 3.019806626980426e-14
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    {
      "question": "registered_voter_last_election",
      "max_residual_pp": 4.263256414560601e-14
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  ],
  "conditional_questions_not_recomposed": [
    {
      "question": "party_affiliated",
      "base": 556
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  ],
  "wave2_same_raw_vote_income_counts": true,
  "transfer_1t_2t": {
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    "question_section": "2º turno estimulada",
    "breakdown_key": "stimulated_1r_vote_1_h",
    "breakdown_label": "Eleitor no 1º turno",
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      "Lula (PT)",
      "Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)",
      "Renan Santos (Missão)",
      "Escritor Augusto Cury (Avante)",
      "Outros candidatos",
      "Indecisos, brancos e nulos"
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      "Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)",
      "Lula (PT)",
      "Branco/nulo ou não votaria",
      "Indecisos"
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    "cells": [
      {
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      {
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        "group": "Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)",
        "answer": "Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)",
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        "group": "Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)",
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        "low": 0,
        "high": 0,
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      {
        "group": "Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)",
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        "high": 0.000667720416412342,
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      {
        "group": "Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)",
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        "high": 0.00106261827269002,
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      {
        "group": "Renan Santos (Missão)",
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        "high": 0.31469371809465,
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      {
        "group": "Renan Santos (Missão)",
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      {
        "group": "Renan Santos (Missão)",
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        "low": 0.569342907826146,
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      {
        "group": "Renan Santos (Missão)",
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      {
        "group": "Escritor Augusto Cury (Avante)",
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        "low": 0.268721882763585,
        "high": 0.570656331983447,
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      },
      {
        "group": "Escritor Augusto Cury (Avante)",
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      },
      {
        "group": "Escritor Augusto Cury (Avante)",
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        "high": 0.50808971551731,
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      {
        "group": "Escritor Augusto Cury (Avante)",
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      {
        "group": "Outros candidatos",
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      {
        "group": "Outros candidatos",
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        "high": 0.570971892950283,
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      {
        "group": "Outros candidatos",
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        "high": 0.199125003833438,
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      {
        "group": "Outros candidatos",
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      {
        "group": "Indecisos, brancos e nulos",
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        "high": 0.605468380044655,
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      {
        "group": "Indecisos, brancos e nulos",
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        "low": 0,
        "high": 0.450382832931259,
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      },
      {
        "group": "Indecisos, brancos e nulos",
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      {
        "group": "Indecisos, brancos e nulos",
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    ],
    "group_stats": [
      {
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      {
        "group": "Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)",
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        "group": "Renan Santos (Missão)",
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    ],
    "base": 5000,
    "weighted": true
  },
  "past_vote_current_vote": {
    "wave_id": "03_pesquisa_2026_09_21",
    "question_key": "lula_flavio",
    "question_label": "Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro",
    "question_statement": "Em um eventual 2º turno nas próximas eleições para Presidente, como você votaria se estes fossem os candidatos? (cenário 1)",
    "question_section": "2º turno estimulada",
    "breakdown_key": "vote_std",
    "breakdown_label": "Voto no 2º turno de 2022",
    "groups": [
      "Lula",
      "Jair Bolsonaro",
      "Branco/Nulo ou Não votei"
    ],
    "answers": [
      "Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)",
      "Lula (PT)",
      "Branco/nulo ou não votaria",
      "Indecisos"
    ],
    "cells": [
      {
        "group": "Lula",
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      {
        "group": "Lula",
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      {
        "group": "Lula",
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      {
        "group": "Lula",
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      {
        "group": "Jair Bolsonaro",
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      {
        "group": "Jair Bolsonaro",
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      {
        "group": "Jair Bolsonaro",
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        "low": 0.0672911697764627,
        "high": 0.100242862469312,
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      },
      {
        "group": "Jair Bolsonaro",
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        "low": 0,
        "high": 0.0146920619153208,
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      },
      {
        "group": "Branco/Nulo ou Não votei",
        "answer": "Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)",
        "share": 0.36757268078839,
        "low": 0.289515564038856,
        "high": 0.445629797537923,
        "n": 225
      },
      {
        "group": "Branco/Nulo ou Não votei",
        "answer": "Lula (PT)",
        "share": 0.162867716555888,
        "low": 0.101029554114548,
        "high": 0.224705878997228,
        "n": 104
      },
      {
        "group": "Branco/Nulo ou Não votei",
        "answer": "Branco/nulo ou não votaria",
        "share": 0.451758567796486,
        "low": 0.360238733157165,
        "high": 0.543278402435808,
        "n": 453
      },
      {
        "group": "Branco/Nulo ou Não votei",
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        "low": 0.0019693403034318,
        "high": 0.0336327294150402,
        "n": 17
      }
    ],
    "group_stats": [
      {
        "group": "Lula",
        "n": 1559,
        "n_eff": 462.727479944504
      },
      {
        "group": "Jair Bolsonaro",
        "n": 2642,
        "n_eff": 746.392427915189
      },
      {
        "group": "Branco/Nulo ou Não votei",
        "n": 799,
        "n_eff": 200.473834504103
      }
    ],
    "base": 5000,
    "weighted": true
  },
  "caveats": [
    "No respondent identifiers, individual weights or full demographic joint table are exposed by these tables.",
    "Recovered weighted margins and cell mean weights are aggregate inferences, not downloaded individual weights.",
    "Reweighting changes income alone, not joint TSE + PNAD calibration; no new confidence interval is inferred.",
    "Wave 2 first-round scenario includes Pablo Marçal; it cannot enter the project's no-Marçal first-round series.",
    "Explorer wave 3 fieldEnd is 2026-09-20; PDF pp. 16/22/30 says 18/09. Preserve both as a documentary discrepancy.",
    "Explorer revised wave 2 Lula first round is 40.440%; PDF p. 30 labels it 41%. Needs version/rounding reconciliation.",
    "vote_std pools blank/null and non-voters. This does not establish how individual 2022 eligibility was calibrated.",
    "Two multiple-response questions (desgaste_master and desgaste_stf) may legitimately sum above 100%.",
    "Identification breakdown omits 76 respondents in wave 3; it is not a closed partition of all 5000."
  ]
}